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Property Pricing Survey, July 2012

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  • Property continued to be a selective buy across all sectors in Central London and the South East, ranging from a 36% preference for Central London industrials to 86% for South East industrials.
  • Other geographic locations remained mainly sale targets across all sectors.
  • The north/south divide has continued from the March 2012 survey, with the south a buy and the north a sale.
  • The 2012 total return was again revised down quite sharply, by 260 bps (250 bps March survey) to 1.0% pa from 3.6% pa in the March survey (6.1% pa November 2011).
  • Total return for 2013 was also revised downwards to 6.1% pa, a 100 bps drop from the March survey of 7.1% pa (7.9% pa November 2011 survey).
  • Yield movement for prime saw an average 29 bps increase, greater than the 16 bps seen in the March survey.
  • Secondary yield outward movement was greater, with an average of 56 bps across all sectors. Secondary property is bearing the brunt of negative sentiment.
  • Prime continued to be overpriced except for offices and distribution, unchanged from the March 2012 survey.
  • Secondary was underpriced except for secondary retail units and shopping centres.

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The Colliers International Research team provide expert advice and a wide range of specialist services to clients across the UK, including a property market forecasting capability.

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